TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:57 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 24 at 1:45PM ET: If Lausanne win, the market will resolve to "Lausanne". If Fribourg-Gotteron win, the market will resolve to "Fribourg-Gotteron". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 24 at 1:45PM ET: If Lausanne win, the market will resolve to "Lausanne". If Fribourg-Gotteron win, the market will resolve to "Fribourg-Gotteron". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing opinions among participants. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information emerges, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of probabilities than static sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular result, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, creating a real-time estimate of the event's likelihood. This allows for a fluid and responsive valuation based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the NL: Lausanne vs. Fribourg-Gotteron game as reported by official league sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution. It's important to monitor official announcements as the event approaches to understand the final determination.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance, or coaching changes for either Lausanne or Fribourg-Gotteron could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other games, or changes in team strategies, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, general hockey news and analysis, as well as public opinion, can all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves leading up to the game and its eventual resolution.