TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 7:35 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 20 at 1:45PM ET: If Geneve-Servette win, the market will resolve to "Geneve-Servette". If Lugano win, the market will resolve to "Lugano". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 20 at 1:45PM ET: If Geneve-Servette win, the market will resolve to "Geneve-Servette". If Lugano win, the market will resolve to "Lugano". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Comparing these odds can reveal where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the probability of a particular outcome in the NL hockey matchup.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective probability assigned by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share indicates the market's implied probability of the event occurring, while a 'no' share reflects the probability of it not occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Geneve-Servette versus Lugano game will be used to determine the winning share. The final score and official game results will serve as the basis for settlement. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, providing a clear and definitive result for all traders involved in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 20, 2026. Key player injuries, unexpected lineup changes, or significant shifts in team performance could all lead to adjustments in the odds. News reports about team morale, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions impacting travel could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal new information entering the market and cause price fluctuations. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either team winning could move this market.