TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 6:05 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 23 at 1:45PM ET: If Fribourg-Gotteron win, the market will resolve to "Fribourg-Gotteron". If Biel win, the market will resolve to "Biel". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 23 at 1:45PM ET: If Fribourg-Gotteron win, the market will resolve to "Fribourg-Gotteron". If Biel win, the market will resolve to "Biel". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability as assessed by traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different forms of opinion and are subject to change as new information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are traded, the price of those shares adjusts, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of the outcome it represents; a share trading at 60 means there's a 60% implied probability of that outcome occurring. The current volume traded provides insight into how actively this market is being assessed.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fribourg-Gotteron versus Biel game in the Swiss National League. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Game-day performance, early scoring, or significant penalties during the game could also cause rapid price adjustments. Furthermore, broader news related to the Swiss National League, or even general hockey trends, could impact trading activity and the overall probability assessments reflected in this market.