TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 7:35 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 20 at 1:45PM ET: If Biel win, the market will resolve to "Biel". If Rapperswil-Jona Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Rapperswil-Jona Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 20 at 1:45PM ET: If Biel win, the market will resolve to "Biel". If Rapperswil-Jona Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Rapperswil-Jona Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers. Often, prediction markets can offer different probabilities, reflecting a broader range of information and perspectives than traditional sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise from differing analyses of team form, player injuries, or even external factors influencing the game. It’s valuable to consider both sources when forming your own assessment of the likely outcome of this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a growing belief in its likelihood. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Biel versus Rapperswil-Jona Lakers game within the Swiss National League playoffs. The platform will verify the result against official sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements for the definitive result that triggers market settlement.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Biel or Rapperswil-Jona Lakers would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding game, could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, significant media coverage or expert analysis highlighting a team's strengths or weaknesses could influence trader sentiment and drive price fluctuations in this market.