TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:59 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 3 at 1:45PM ET: If Biel win, the market will resolve to "Biel". If Davos win, the market will resolve to "Davos". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 3 at 1:45PM ET: If Biel win, the market will resolve to "Biel". If Davos win, the market will resolve to "Davos". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or inside information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines. It's common to see this market offer odds that differ from those available elsewhere, potentially providing opportunities for informed traders to find value. Examining these differences can be a useful exercise for anyone interested in the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price movements indicate how traders are interpreting available information and adjusting their positions.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Biel vs. Davos game, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand how the final result will be determined and when the market will be settled. The process aims to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance, or coaching changes could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about game conditions or venue changes could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, driven by media coverage or social media trends, can influence trading volume and price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving dynamics of this market and potential trading opportunities.