TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 6:11 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 16 at 1:45PM ET: If Biel win, the market will resolve to "Biel". If Ajoie win, the market will resolve to "Ajoie". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 16 at 1:45PM ET: If Biel win, the market will resolve to "Biel". If Ajoie win, the market will resolve to "Ajoie". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. This market reflects the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a broader range of information and viewpoints than a sportsbook’s models, which are typically built by a smaller team of experts. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical analysis and team performance, this market can adjust rapidly to news, injuries, or even subtle shifts in public opinion. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches, as traders weigh various factors influencing the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the collective intelligence of all participants. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the event.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Biel vs. Ajoie match, as reported by official league sources. The platform will verify the final score and declare a winning outcome based on this data. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Biel or Ajoie teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team performance during recent games could also influence trader sentiment. Major announcements related to the game’s venue or scheduling could also introduce volatility. Even broader factors, such as significant shifts in public opinion or expert analysis, could contribute to price movements in this market before Oct 16, 2026.