TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 6:41 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 9 at 1:45PM ET: If Bern win, the market will resolve to "Bern". If Biel win, the market will resolve to "Biel". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 9 at 1:45PM ET: If Bern win, the market will resolve to "Bern". If Biel win, the market will resolve to "Biel". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and public betting patterns, this market represents the collective wisdom of individuals incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply the unique dynamics of a prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or subtle shifts in sentiment than traditional odds, offering a potentially valuable alternative viewpoint.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a constantly updating forecast for the Swiss National League matchup. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of a specific result.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bern versus Biel game in the Swiss National League. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome accordingly. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to this date for any potential delays or changes to the game schedule.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 9, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Bern or Biel would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising winning or losing streak, could also impact trading activity. Major news regarding team strategy, coaching changes, or even external factors like weather conditions could all contribute to price movements. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team winning has the potential to move this market.