TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:35 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 17 at 1:45PM ET: If Ambri-Piotta win, the market will resolve to "Ambri-Piotta". If Geneve-Servette win, the market will resolve to "Geneve-Servette". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 17 at 1:45PM ET: If Ambri-Piotta win, the market will resolve to "Ambri-Piotta". If Geneve-Servette win, the market will resolve to "Geneve-Servette". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions about the likelihood of an outcome. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential value opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market’s collective assessment of the likelihood of a particular result in the Ambri-Piotta versus Geneve-Servette game.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Ambri-Piotta versus Geneve-Servette match in the Swiss National League. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on publicly available and authoritative sources. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Ambri-Piotta or Geneve-Servette would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also shift market sentiment. Major news regarding team strategy or coaching changes could also impact trading activity. Finally, any significant public announcements related to the game, such as venue changes or altered game schedules, could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.