TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:37 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 10 at 1:45PM ET: If Ajoie win, the market will resolve to "Ajoie". If SCL Tigers win, the market will resolve to "SCL Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 10 at 1:45PM ET: If Ajoie win, the market will resolve to "Ajoie". If SCL Tigers win, the market will resolve to "SCL Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to balance their risk and ensure profitability, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly when there's significant public information or debate surrounding the event. Comparing these odds can highlight areas where the market believes sportsbooks may be under or overestimating the probability of a particular result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ajoie vs. SCL Tigers match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective probability assigned to each possibility. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by new information, analysis, and the overall sentiment of traders, creating a dynamic and responsive assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ajoie vs. SCL Tigers match, as reported by official sources. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event’s progress and the eventual resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected developments related to the Ajoie or SCL Tigers could significantly shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on game conditions, such as weather forecasts or venue changes, might also play a role. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also drive price movements as traders adjust their positions based on new information.