TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 5:50 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 23 at 1:45PM ET: If Ajoie win, the market will resolve to "Ajoie". If Geneve-Servette win, the market will resolve to "Geneve-Servette". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 23 at 1:45PM ET: If Ajoie win, the market will resolve to "Ajoie". If Geneve-Servette win, the market will resolve to "Geneve-Servette". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds requires looking at implied probabilities. Sportsbooks typically include a vigorish, or commission, which skews the odds away from true probabilities. On Polymarket, this market reflects the collective judgment of traders, aiming for a more accurate representation of the likelihood of each outcome. While direct comparisons can be challenging due to differing market structures, significant discrepancies might indicate opportunities for arbitrage or differing expert opinions. It’s important to note that this market focuses on the outcome of the hockey game, and sportsbook odds may include additional factors or prop bets not covered here. This comparison is based on available data at the time of inquiry.
On Polymarket, the Swiss National League hockey market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Volume plays a role as well; higher volume generally indicates greater market interest and potentially more accurate pricing. Currently, the total volume for this market is $899, with $872 traded in the last 24 hours.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ajoie versus Geneve-Servette game in the Swiss National League. Traders will be able to see the final result and how their positions are settled on Polymarket following the completion of the game. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the game concludes. Key player injuries or unexpected lineup changes for either Ajoie or Geneve-Servette would likely cause significant movement. News regarding team morale, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions impacting travel could also play a role. Major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or social media discussion, could also impact trading activity and, consequently, the price of shares in this market.