TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 7:02 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 30 at 2:45PM ET: If Ajoie win, the market will resolve to "Ajoie". If Bern win, the market will resolve to "Bern". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for October 30 at 2:45PM ET: If Ajoie win, the market will resolve to "Ajoie". If Bern win, the market will resolve to "Bern". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the actual outcome of the Ajoie vs. Bern match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger sample size of opinions influencing the prediction market price.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ajoie vs. Bern match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares indicating a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Ajoie vs. Bern match, as officially recorded and reported by a trusted source, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources for the official announcement to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or key player availability are likely to cause significant price movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions regarding the Ajoie vs. Bern match.