TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 4:35 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between NK Rudeš and HNK Rijeka, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "NK Rudeš" if NK Rudeš are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "HNK Rijeka" if HNK Rijeka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between NK Rudeš and HNK Rijeka, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "NK Rudeš" if NK Rudeš are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "HNK Rijeka" if HNK Rijeka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own research and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a certain outcome, they can express that view by trading in this market, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It's a fascinating comparison of different forecasting approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—NK Rudeš or HNK Rijeka—scored the first goal in the match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. The resolution will reflect the actual sequence of events during the game, with no subjective interpretation involved in determining the first goalscorer.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players on either NK Rudeš or HNK Rijeka, or changes in weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes might also play a role. Furthermore, the performance of the teams in their preceding matches and any public statements from players or managers could all contribute to movements in the market price as traders adjust their predictions leading up to Oct 16, 2026.