TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 4:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Prva Liga game between NK Rudeš and HNK Rijeka, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the NK Rudeš vs. HNK Rijeka match originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Prva Liga game between NK Rudeš and HNK Rijeka, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the NK Rudeš vs. HNK Rijeka match originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and often adjust based on betting action, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the diverse opinions of participants. It's common to find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, though this isn't always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact score outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand from traders on Polymarket, making it a dynamic reflection of collective belief.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the NK Rudeš vs. HNK Rijeka match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome. Shares will then be settled based on whether the predicted exact score matches the actual result. The resolution process is automated based on this publicly available information.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by the coaches could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could also sway traders' opinions. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential participants could create short-term price movements, reflecting a shift in sentiment.