TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:09 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Prva Liga game, scheduled for October 31 at 1:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Prva Liga game, scheduled for October 31 at 1:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view through their trades, driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges, as traders incorporate their own analysis and insights into the price.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Croatian football match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares. It’s important to monitor the official sources for updates as the event approaches.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment and impact the odds. Unexpected performance in prior matches, or even public statements from key players, can also be catalysts for price movement. Major upsets in other related matches could also affect perceptions of team strength and influence trading activity. Monitoring these factors and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.