TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:17 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between NK Osijek and HNK Gorica, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "NK Osijek" if NK Osijek are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "HNK Gorica" if HNK Gorica are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between NK Osijek and HNK Gorica, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "NK Osijek" if NK Osijek are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "HNK Gorica" if HNK Gorica are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis that may not be immediately priced into traditional sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Therefore, you might find that the implied probability of a team scoring first on Polymarket differs from the odds offered by sportsbooks, potentially revealing discrepancies in perceived value or the incorporation of unique information by market participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe NK Osijek will score first, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa for HNK Gorica. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, providing a constantly updated forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team—NK Osijek or HNK Gorica—scores the first goal in the match. Official match reports and verified data from sporting news sources will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score, based on the final share prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either NK Osijek or HNK Gorica would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning streak or a string of losses, could also impact market sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially favoring one team’s playing style, could contribute to price movements. Any significant information impacting the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.