TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 5:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between NK Istra 1961 and HNK Hajduk Split, scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "NK Istra 1961" if NK Istra 1961 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "HNK Hajduk Split" if HNK Hajduk Split are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between NK Istra 1961 and HNK Hajduk Split, scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "NK Istra 1961" if NK Istra 1961 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "HNK Hajduk Split" if HNK Hajduk Split are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when a large volume of traders participate, but sportsbook odds still offer a valuable comparison point for assessing potential value.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the NK Istra 1961 versus HNK Hajduk Split match. If the match ends without either team scoring, the market will resolve as 'No Goal Scored' if that option was offered. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the first goalscorer, and the resolution will be based on the official result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either NK Istra 1961 or HNK Hajduk Split could significantly shift the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, like heavy rain or strong winds, might be considered by traders when assessing the likelihood of each team scoring first. Unexpected tactical decisions announced by either manager could also move the market.