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410,833

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4,363

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NK Istra 1961 vs. HNK Hajduk Split
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of NK Istra 1961 vs. HNK Hajduk Split?

Volume:
$209,132

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 2:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65,118
N/A
N/A
$32,445
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (NK Istra 1961 vs. HNK Hajduk Split)

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,467
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Istra 1961

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,582
N/A
N/A
$28,959
Settled
No
polymarket

NK Istra 1961

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,822
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hajduk

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,035
N/A
N/A
$23,980
Settled
No
polymarket

HNK Hajduk Split

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a soccer match between NK Istra 1961 and HNK Hajduk Split scheduled for October 26, 2026. Markets exist for NK Istra 1961 winning, HNK Hajduk Split winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the result within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and specify fallback data sources in case official data is unavailable.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (hnl.hr).

Core resolution logic:

  • The outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No', and the draw market resolves to 'Yes' on Polymarket.
  • Kalshi markets resolve to 'Yes' for a win, tie, or loss.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Postponement: Markets will remain open until the game is completed if it is postponed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes' on Polymarket. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or when official results are available, whichever is later.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Prva Liga game, scheduled for Monday, October 26, 2026 between NK Istra 1961 and HNK Hajduk Split.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Istra 1961 vs Hajduk professional Croatia HNL soccer match scheduled for October 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Istra 1961, a win for Hajduk, or a tied result. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution exclusively considers the result after regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more nuanced and aggregated view of potential outcomes than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd. This means prediction markets can sometimes identify mispricings or anticipate shifts in sentiment before sportsbooks do. However, sportsbooks typically offer a wider range of bet types, and may have more competitive pricing on standard bets. The current volume on this market is $209,132.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different trading dynamics and user bases on Polymarket and Kalshi can lead to price discrepancies, even for the same event. Polymarket may attract a different class of trader than Kalshi, resulting in varying interpretations of the available information. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. If one platform has significantly higher volume, its prices may be more efficient. The differing fee structures and market-making activity on each platform also contribute to these variations. Currently, this market has a volume of $209,132.