TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 2:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional Europa League soccer match between NK Celje and Omonia Nicosia. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. The match result is determined solely within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout scenarios.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored during the NK Celje vs Omonia Nicosia Europa League match scheduled for October 15, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified half-goal threshold—ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals—within the standard match duration of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from all calculations. While each threshold represents a distinct market, they collectively assess the match's scoring volume against progressively higher benchmarks. The underlying governing rules and intellectual property belong to the official league, with Kalshi operating independently of any official affiliations.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s prices are driven by supply and demand as traders react to news, injuries, and other factors influencing the likelihood of over 1.5 goals being scored. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders seek to profit from discrepancies between the two types of odds. It’s important to compare both to get a comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s potential. The current price indicates the market's expectation for whether over 1.5 goals will be scored in the NK Celje vs Omonia Nicosia match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official number of total goals scored in the NK Celje vs Omonia Nicosia match, as reported by official sports data providers. The market will determine whether over 1.5 goals were scored, and contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market’s settlement.
Several factors could significantly impact the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either NK Celje or Omonia Nicosia would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the playing style or scoring opportunities, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team formations or tactical changes could shift the market’s perception of the likelihood of over 1.5 goals being scored. Unexpected announcements related to the match itself could also play a role.