TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Nitto ATP Singles Finals: Qualifiers
kalshi

Nitto ATP Singles Finals: Qualifiers

Jun 2, 2026, 5:30 PM EST - Nov 15, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$106,021
Volume 24h:
$25,487
570%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$74,413
50%

Ben Shelton

 - Kalshi

Ben Shelton - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:13h:36m

Will Ben Shelton qualify for the Nitto ATP Singles Finals?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 36% Illiquid market 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ben Shelton

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$10,777
0%
114%
$6,878
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Daniil Medvedev

Trade
99%
1%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$9,684
183%
1,990%
$9,412
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Jannik Sinner

Trade
99%
1%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$7,821
47%
49%
$6,607
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Carlos Alcaraz

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$7,395
119%
123%
$6,130
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Alexander Zverev

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$18,272
0%
337%
$16,719
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Arthur Fils

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 5¢
3¢
N/A
$2,796
0.07%
101%
$2,086
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Frances Tiafoe

Trade
76%
12%
Yes 82¢No 24¢
6¢
N/A
$842
52%
1,353%
$359
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Alex de Minaur

Trade
57%
5%
Yes 56¢No 46¢
2¢
N/A
$3,199
20%
298%
$1,778
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Taylor Fritz

Trade
14%
Yes 14¢No 91¢
5¢
N/A
$6,599
0%
526%
$1,987
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Novak Djokovic

Trade
10%
3%
Yes 14¢No 89¢
3¢
N/A
$3,226
29%
188%
$2,347
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Casper Ruud

Trade
10%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$327
0%
N/A
$195
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Alexander Bublik

Trade
10%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$27
0%
N/A
$1
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Tommy Paul

Trade
6%
Yes 8¢No 99¢
7¢
N/A
$1,739
196%
N/A
$1,739
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Francisco Cerundolo

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$1,480
0%
0%
$661
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Karen Khachanov

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$730
0%
N/A
$42
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Andrey Rublev

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$170
0%
277%
$170
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$15,901
0%
N/A
$4,713
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Jan-Lennard Struff

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$4,000
0%
N/A
$4,000
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Jack Draper

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$3,176
0%
N/A
$1,229
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Cameron Norrie

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,530
0%
N/A
$2,530
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Joao Fonseca

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,378
130%
910%
$2,375
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Sebastian Korda

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,350
0%
N/A
$1,350
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$706
36%
58%
$315
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Hubert Hurkacz

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$700
600%
600%
$700
1w 5d 13h
Active
kalshi

Jakub Mensik

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$196
0%
N/A
$90
1w 5d 13h
Active
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This event asks whether any of a selected group of professional tennis players will qualify for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, the season-ending championship tournament for the world's top male tennis players. The market resolves affirmatively if at least one player from the listed group earns a spot in the Finals based on their ranking points accumulated throughout the 2026 ATP season.

Kalshi

If Carlos Alcaraz qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jannik Sinner qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Novak Djokovic qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexander Zverev qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joao Fonseca qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jack Draper qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lorenzo Musetti qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arthur Fils qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Shelton qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex de Minaur qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Norrie qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stefanos Tsitsipas qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Karen Khachanov qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sebastian Korda qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hubert Hurkacz qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniil Medvedev qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Francisco Cerundolo qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Fritz qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrey Rublev qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jan-Lennard Struff qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tommy Paul qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Casper Ruud qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexander Bublik qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Frances Tiafoe qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jakub Mensik qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. If Felix Auger-Aliassime qualifies for the 2026 Nitto ATP Singles Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction markets like this one can offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial odds based on statistical models and public perception, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are actively researching and betting on the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market absorbs information and adjusts its probabilities. While sportsbooks may focus on attracting action on all sides, this market is driven purely by predictions of who will actually qualify for the ATP Finals.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a player qualifying for the ATP Finals. As more people buy a contract, the price goes up, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the likelihood of that outcome, and all trades are executed transparently on the exchange. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official list of qualifiers for the Nitto ATP Finals is released and verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect which players have earned a spot in the tournament based on the official ATP rankings and qualification criteria. The resolution will be based on the official ATP standings at the close of the qualifying period, as determined by the ATP Tour. Traders will then be settled based on whether their predictions aligned with the final qualifying list.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of a top player could open up a qualifying spot for others. Unexpected tournament results, particularly strong performances from players on the cusp of qualification, will also drive movement. Changes in the ATP rankings, due to tournament points earned or lost, are continuously monitored by traders. Any news regarding player form, fitness, or participation in upcoming events will likely influence trading activity and shift the probabilities within this market.