TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 2:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and Yu-Hsiou Hsu in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yuta Shimizu advances against Yu-Hsiou Hsu. This market will resolve to 'Yu-Hsiou Hsu' if Yu-Hsiou Hsu advances against Yuta Shimizu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and Yu-Hsiou Hsu in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yuta Shimizu advances against Yu-Hsiou Hsu. This market will resolve to 'Yu-Hsiou Hsu' if Yu-Hsiou Hsu advances against Yuta Shimizu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time information and the opinions of many participants. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant event or when new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and evolving forecast for the Shimizu vs Hsu match.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ningbo tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and Yu-Hsiou Hsu, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Yuta Shimizu or Yu-Hsiou Hsu could also impact the odds. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, could drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market before it resolves.