TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yu-Hsiou Hsu and Keegan Smith in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yu-Hsiou Hsu' if Yu-Hsiou Hsu advances against Keegan Smith. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Yu-Hsiou Hsu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yu-Hsiou Hsu and Keegan Smith in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yu-Hsiou Hsu' if Yu-Hsiou Hsu advances against Keegan Smith. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Yu-Hsiou Hsu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Examining these differences can reveal insights into how the crowd perceives the probability of various outcomes in the Hsu vs Smith match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand, with traders acting as both market makers and informed speculators regarding the Hsu vs Smith match.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ningbo match between Yu-Hsiou Hsu and Keegan Smith. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Yu-Hsiou Hsu or Keegan Smith could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, driven by expert analysis or social media trends, can lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments in this market.