TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yaroslav Demin and Yu-Hsiou Hsu in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yaroslav Demin' if Yaroslav Demin advances against Yu-Hsiou Hsu. This market will resolve to 'Yu-Hsiou Hsu' if Yu-Hsiou Hsu advances against Yaroslav Demin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yaroslav Demin and Yu-Hsiou Hsu in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yaroslav Demin' if Yaroslav Demin advances against Yu-Hsiou Hsu. This market will resolve to 'Yu-Hsiou Hsu' if Yu-Hsiou Hsu advances against Yaroslav Demin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, encouraging traders to exploit the difference and bring the odds closer together. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets and sportsbooks have different user bases and motivations, leading to potential sustained differences in pricing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ningbo match between Yaroslav Demin and Yu-Hsiou Hsu. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The precise timing of resolution may depend on the speed of official result publication.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as court surface changes or weather impacts, could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tournaments or matches involving these players could influence perceptions of their relative strengths. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in market expectations, potentially driving price movements.