TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 2:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yaroslav Demin and Harold Mayot in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yaroslav Demin' if Yaroslav Demin advances against Harold Mayot. This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Yaroslav Demin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yaroslav Demin and Harold Mayot in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yaroslav Demin' if Yaroslav Demin advances against Harold Mayot. This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Yaroslav Demin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with but sometimes diverging from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular result. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks might miss.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving collective assessment of the Demin vs Mayot match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changes in sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Demin vs Mayot match as declared by the governing tennis authority. Any official result will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand the final determination.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Nov 6, 2026 resolution date. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could all significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Any public statements from the players themselves or their coaches could also move the market, as could significant betting activity observed elsewhere. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.