TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 8:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xiaoyin Yang and Timofei Derepasko in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 2:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xiaoyin Yang' if Xiaoyin Yang advances against Timofei Derepasko. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Xiaoyin Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xiaoyin Yang and Timofei Derepasko in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 2:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xiaoyin Yang' if Xiaoyin Yang advances against Timofei Derepasko. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Xiaoyin Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that prediction market traders have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into the sportsbook's pricing. It’s important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market is constantly updating its forecast for the Xiaoyin Yang vs Derepasko match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Xiaoyin Yang vs Derepasko match, as reported by the governing sports organization. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches for either Xiaoyin Yang or Timofei Derepasko could significantly shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators, updated rankings, or even social media buzz surrounding the players could also play a role. Unexpected developments leading up to the match are likely to cause fluctuations in the market price as traders adjust their predictions.