TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Semen Pankin and Maxim Zhukov in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Maxim Zhukov. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Zhukov' if Maxim Zhukov advances against Semen Pankin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Semen Pankin and Maxim Zhukov in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Maxim Zhukov. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Zhukov' if Maxim Zhukov advances against Semen Pankin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market’s pricing is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, particularly when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Pankin vs Zhukov match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the perceived likelihood of each possible result. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Pankin vs Zhukov match, as reported by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the outcome against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to their share ownership at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or unexpected performance in prior matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports experts and commentators could also impact the market, especially if it contradicts prevailing expectations. Major upsets in related matches or broader trends within the sport could also play a role, causing traders to reassess their probabilities and adjust their positions accordingly.