TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 1:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Semen Pankin and Egor Pleshivtsev in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Egor Pleshivtsev. This market will resolve to 'Egor Pleshivtsev' if Egor Pleshivtsev advances against Semen Pankin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Semen Pankin and Egor Pleshivtsev in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Egor Pleshivtsev. This market will resolve to 'Egor Pleshivtsev' if Egor Pleshivtsev advances against Semen Pankin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Pankin vs Pleshivtsev match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Semen Pankin and Egor Pleshivtsev, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected announcements related to the Pankin vs Pleshivtsev match could influence trader sentiment. Strong performance by either player in preceding matches, or shifts in expert analysis, could also lead to price adjustments. Unexpected developments in the broader tournament or competition could also have an impact, as traders reassess the probabilities of various outcomes. Monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding potential market movements.