TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 11:33 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 20 at 7:35AM ET: If the Ningbo Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Ningbo Rockets". If the Shanxi Loongs win, the market will resolve to "Shanxi Loongs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 20 at 7:35AM ET: If the Ningbo Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Ningbo Rockets". If the Shanxi Loongs win, the market will resolve to "Shanxi Loongs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how differently informed each group is. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and public betting patterns, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of individuals incentivized to make accurate predictions. Often, prediction markets can offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there's inside information or a nuanced understanding of the teams involved. Discrepancies can arise from differing risk assessments and the level of expertise within each group, though this market’s odds currently suggest a strong consensus.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ningbo Rockets versus the Shanxi Loongs game as reported by the Chinese Basketball Association. Any potential disputes or ambiguities will be resolved by referencing official game statistics and league rulings. The final score and official result will determine which outcome in this market is declared the winner, and shares will be paid out accordingly.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Ningbo Rockets or the Shanxi Loongs would be a major catalyst. Changes in team performance, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent game, could also shift sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team dynamics could also influence trading activity. Finally, any major shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ chances of winning could move this market, as traders adjust their positions based on new information.