TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 9:40 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional basketball contest between two Chinese league teams decides the winner based on the highest score after the full game duration.
If Fujian Sturgeons wins the Ningbo Rockets vs Fujian Sturgeons men's professional China CBA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 at 7:35 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ningbo Rockets wins the Ningbo Rockets vs Fujian Sturgeons men's professional China CBA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 at 7:35 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the prediction market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Ningbo Rockets versus Fujian Sturgeons game. The current market price is a collective forecast, influenced by a diverse range of opinions and analyses.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ningbo Rockets versus Fujian Sturgeons game in the Chinese Basketball Association. The winning team, as declared by the league, will determine the winning contract in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible for payout based on the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies for either the Ningbo Rockets or the Fujian Sturgeons could all significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in previous games, or even public sentiment expressed through sports analysts and commentators, could also impact the market. Any information that alters perceptions of each team's chances of winning is likely to be reflected in the trading volume and price movements of this market.