TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 7:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rigele Te and Mert Alkaya in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rigele Te' if Rigele Te advances against Mert Alkaya. This market will resolve to 'Mert Alkaya' if Mert Alkaya advances against Rigele Te. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rigele Te and Mert Alkaya in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rigele Te' if Rigele Te advances against Mert Alkaya. This market will resolve to 'Mert Alkaya' if Mert Alkaya advances against Rigele Te. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own information and beliefs. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to note that prediction markets may offer different outcomes than standard sportsbooks, focusing on specific event details.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating increasing confidence. The market’s price discovery process allows for a dynamic and responsive valuation based on real-time information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rigele Te vs Mert Alkaya match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome. It’s important to monitor for official announcements regarding the match result as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or significant performance updates for either Rigele Te or Mert Alkaya could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament or the players’ form could also trigger price movements. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, although the market is primarily driven by trading activity on Polymarket. Monitoring these factors could provide insights into potential shifts in the market’s probabilities.