TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Ningbo Professional and Suzhou Dongwu, focusing on the result after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on whether a specific team will win or if the game will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the final score at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Ningbo Professional vs Suzhou Dongwu professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Ningbo Professional wins, the 'Ningbo Professional' market resolves to Yes. If Suzhou Dongwu wins, the 'Suzhou Dongwu' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The outcome excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result at the end of regular time.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in public betting patterns and a built-in margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals making predictions based on their own research and analysis. As a result, the odds may diverge from sportsbook offerings, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the Chinese basketball match. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome happens, and is a direct reflection of their aggregated assessment of the event.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Chinese basketball match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome will be considered the winner and trigger payouts for those who correctly predicted the result of this market.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance in recent games, or changes in coaching strategies could impact the perceived likelihood of either team winning the Chinese basketball match. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or even weather conditions (if the game is outdoors) could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence price movements, as traders react to the actions of others.