TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Ningbo Professional and Nanjing City in China's League 1. The result will be determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Participants can speculate on whether either team will win or if the match will end in a tie based on the game's regulation time result.
The event determines the winner of the Ningbo Professional vs Nanjing City professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: Ningbo Professional win, Nanjing City win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a win for either team within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly adheres to the regulation time result, with no consideration given to post-regulation events such as extra time or penalty shootouts.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by trader opinions and expectations. Consequently, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially when a large number of participants contribute to the pricing of the outcome. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Chinese Super League match between Ningbo Professional and Nanjing City will be used to determine the winning contract. Resolution will be based on the official match results as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders holding the winning contract will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Ningbo Professional or Nanjing City could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other Chinese Super League matches might impact perceptions of team strength and overall league dynamics, potentially influencing trading behavior. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 11, 2026.