TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 1:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Bar Biryukov and Semen Pankin in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Semen Pankin. This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Bar Biryukov and Semen Pankin in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Semen Pankin. This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Biryukov vs Pankin match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform’s design incentivizes accurate predictions, as traders who correctly forecast the result profit, while those who are wrong lose their stake.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Biryukov vs Pankin match, as determined by the governing sports authority. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the athletes’ preparation could shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price movements, as traders react to each other’s actions and adjust their own forecasts.