TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 8:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Bar Biryukov and Liam Broady in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Liam Broady. This market will resolve to 'Liam Broady' if Liam Broady advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Bar Biryukov and Liam Broady in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Liam Broady. This market will resolve to 'Liam Broady' if Liam Broady advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and may be less influenced by initial biases or public perception. However, both sources aim to predict the same outcome, and comparing them can offer a more comprehensive view of the likely result of the Ningbo tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular player will win, the price of shares representing that outcome increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market, offering a unique perspective on the potential result of the Ningbo tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ningbo tennis match between Petr Bar Biryukov and Liam Broady, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The winner of the match, as officially recorded, will determine the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on their holdings in the winning outcome’s shares following the official announcement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Petr Bar Biryukov or Liam Broady, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions at the Ningbo tournament could also impact expectations. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts and updated rankings could sway trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could also cause noticeable price movements in this market leading up to Nov 7, 2026.