TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 4:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Bar Biryukov and Fajing Sun in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Fajing Sun. This market will resolve to 'Fajing Sun' if Fajing Sun advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Bar Biryukov and Fajing Sun in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Fajing Sun. This market will resolve to 'Fajing Sun' if Fajing Sun advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ningbo match between Petr Bar Biryukov and Fajing Sun. The platform will look to established sports news sources and official tournament results to determine the winner. Once the result is confirmed, the market will settle, and shares will be redeemed based on the final outcome.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, potential injuries, or changes in their training regimens could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant bets from informed traders or large volume spikes could indicate new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring these factors and observing how the market reacts will be key to understanding potential price movements before the Nov 5, 2026 resolution.