TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Katarzyna Kawa and Katie Volynets in the Ningbo Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Katie Volynets. This market will resolve to 'Katie Volynets' if Katie Volynets advances against Katarzyna Kawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Katarzyna Kawa and Katie Volynets in the Ningbo Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Katie Volynets. This market will resolve to 'Katie Volynets' if Katie Volynets advances against Katarzyna Kawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by traders on Polymarket, represents a collective forecast, potentially identifying information not fully captured by sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the incentive structures of each venue. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely winner of the Kawa vs Volynets match. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to $1.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ningbo Open, Qualification match between Katarzyna Kawa and Katie Volynets. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is officially confirmed and the market is settled on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Katarzyna Kawa or Katie Volynets, or changes in playing conditions could all shift the probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the Ningbo Open qualification rounds might also impact perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting shifts in market sentiment as traders react to new information or adjust their strategies.