TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Snigur and Yujun Lin in the Ningbo Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Snigur' if Daria Snigur advances against Yujun Lin. This market will resolve to 'Yujun Lin' if Yujun Lin advances against Daria Snigur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Snigur and Yujun Lin in the Ningbo Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Snigur' if Daria Snigur advances against Yujun Lin. This market will resolve to 'Yujun Lin' if Yujun Lin advances against Daria Snigur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging due to differing information or biases. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their predictions, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't fully been incorporated into sportsbook lines. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed betting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current implied probability of a particular player winning is visible in the share price.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Snigur vs Lin match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by tournament organizers. The player who wins the match, as officially recorded, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will then finalize the settlement of all outstanding shares based on the confirmed result, ensuring all traders receive the appropriate payout based on their positions.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the match and its eventual resolution.