TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Leylah Fernandez will advance against Marie Bouzkova in their Ningbo Open tennis match, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Leylah Fernandez advancing. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores page at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match outcome itself, as this market will resolve based on the result of the Ningbo Open fixture on or shortly after October 24, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Leylah Fernandez and Marie Bouzkova in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Marie Bouzkova. This market will resolve to 'Marie Bouzkova' if Marie Bouzkova advances against Leylah Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can reveal insights into what factors the market prioritizes versus what sportsbooks consider most important when pricing the Ningbo Open match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a specific player, the higher the price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing perspectives on the Ningbo Open match. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction behind each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Ningbo Open match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results published by tournament organizers. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning player. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is finalized and validated, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions in this exciting tennis competition.
Several factors could influence the odds of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated analysis from tennis experts could shift market sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament for either Leylah Fernandez or Marie Bouzkova could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, public endorsements or shifts in betting patterns observed elsewhere could impact trading activity and adjust the probabilities reflected in this market.