TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 6:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Leylah Fernandez will advance against Aliaksandra Sasnovich in their Ningbo Open tennis match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 94.5% probability to Leylah Fernandez winning the match. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 20, 2026 at 10:00PM ET, as that is when the outcome will become clear and this market will resolve.
This market refers to the tennis match between Leylah Fernandez and Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Aliaksandra Sasnovich. This market will resolve to 'Aliaksandra Sasnovich' if Aliaksandra Sasnovich advances against Leylah Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced the outcome, the odds on Polymarket may move in the opposite direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts regarding the Fernandez vs Sasnovich match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ningbo Open match between Leylah Fernandez and Aliaksandra Sasnovich, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly based on the final result. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Fernandez or Sasnovich, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions at the Ningbo Open could also affect the perceived advantage of each player. Additionally, general shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding their chances of winning could drive trading volume and alter the probabilities reflected in this market. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament may also shift expectations.