TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 11:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Katarzyna Kawa will advance against Daria Snigur in their Ningbo Open tennis match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Kawa vs. Snigur: Match O/U 21.5”. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:30AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by whether Katarzyna Kawa advances against Daria Snigur.
This market refers to the tennis match between Katarzyna Kawa and Daria Snigur in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Daria Snigur. This market will resolve to 'Daria Snigur' if Daria Snigur advances against Katarzyna Kawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the views of informed traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates all available information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, risk aversion, and market participation.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and reflects their collective assessment of the match’s likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ningbo Open match between Katarzyna Kawa and Daria Snigur, as declared by the tournament organizers. The final result will be used to determine which shares payout at 1 USDC each, while shares in the losing outcome will be worth 0 USDC. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive result.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Kawa or Snigur, would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather conditions at the Ningbo Open, or even tactical adjustments observed in earlier rounds, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players leading up to their encounter might also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each player’s chances of winning will move this market.