TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 3:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Iva Jovic will advance against Jasmine Paolini in their Ningbo Open tennis match, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to this outcome. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match start time on October 20, 2026, as the outcome will be determined by whether Iva Jovic advances in this scheduled fixture.
This market refers to the tennis match between Iva Jovic and Jasmine Paolini in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iva Jovic' if Iva Jovic advances against Jasmine Paolini. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Paolini' if Jasmine Paolini advances against Iva Jovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the crowd believes there's an edge to be had, or that the sportsbook’s initial assessment was inaccurate. Examining these differences can be a useful exercise for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Jovic vs Paolini match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely winner. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is visible on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jovic vs Paolini match as declared by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated analyses from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also impact perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders could also cause noticeable price movements as they express their views on the likely outcome of the Jovic vs Paolini match.