TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 10:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Katarzyna Kawa in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Katarzyna Kawa. This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Elena Rybakina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Katarzyna Kawa in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Katarzyna Kawa. This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Elena Rybakina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or risk management. This market allows individuals to express their own independent predictions, which can lead to odds that diverge from sportsbook consensus, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see differences, and analyzing these discrepancies can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the aggregated predictions. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and the volume traded indicates the level of confidence participants have in their predictions regarding the Rybakina vs Kawa match.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Rybakina vs Kawa match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final market prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament news, might also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by individual participants could temporarily shift the odds, though the market typically self-corrects as more traders weigh in. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price fluctuations.