TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Elena Rybakina will win her match against Diana Shnaider in the Ningbo Open. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “Ningbo Open: Completed Match: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider”. Resolution will be determined by the official scores reported on https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 24, 2026 at 5:30AM ET, as that is when the first signals regarding the match outcome will become available.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Diana Shnaider in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Diana Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Elena Rybakina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often provide a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and attempt to account for public betting biases, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Frequently, prediction markets can offer more accurate forecasts, especially when there is significant information asymmetry or a strong public bias influencing sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, offering opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ningbo Open match between Elena Rybakina and Diana Shnaider, as reported by official tournament sources. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. It’s important to note that the official result is the sole determinant, and any disputes regarding the match's outcome will be resolved based on that official record.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Elena Rybakina or Diana Shnaider, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions at the Ningbo Open could also affect player performance and, consequently, market prices. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the players’ chances of winning could drive trading volume and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.