TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 4:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Bucsa/Melichar and Errani/Paolini in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bucsa/Melichar' if the team of Bucsa/Melichar advances against Errani/Paolini. This market will resolve to 'Errani/Paolini' if the team of Errani/Paolini advances against Bucsa/Melichar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Bucsa/Melichar and Errani/Paolini in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bucsa/Melichar' if the team of Bucsa/Melichar advances against Errani/Paolini. This market will resolve to 'Errani/Paolini' if the team of Errani/Paolini advances against Bucsa/Melichar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about the likely winner. It's common to find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price of each share fluctuates, reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Bucsa/Melichar will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ningbo Open doubles match between Bucsa/Melichar and Errani/Paolini. The winning pair, as declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Strong performance by either team in preceding matches, or even early momentum within the Ningbo Open doubles match itself, could also cause significant price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the match schedule could also lead to changes in the market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the revised circumstances.