TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 6:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mili Poljicak and Yuta Shimizu in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mili Poljicak' if Mili Poljicak advances against Yuta Shimizu. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yuta Shimizu advances against Mili Poljicak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mili Poljicak and Yuta Shimizu in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mili Poljicak' if Mili Poljicak advances against Yuta Shimizu. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yuta Shimizu advances against Mili Poljicak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Mili Poljicak vs Yuta Shimizu match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Mili Poljicak vs Yuta Shimizu match, as determined by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match analysis from respected tennis commentators could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or significant changes in their recent performance, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting their assessment of the evolving probabilities surrounding the Mili Poljicak vs Yuta Shimizu match.