TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Yusuke Kusuhara in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Yusuke Kusuhara. This market will resolve to 'Yusuke Kusuhara' if Yusuke Kusuhara advances against Luca Castelnuovo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Yusuke Kusuhara in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Yusuke Kusuhara. This market will resolve to 'Yusuke Kusuhara' if Yusuke Kusuhara advances against Luca Castelnuovo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an outcome, though discrepancies can still occur. Polls and analysts currently favor one player, but this market reflects a different assessment based on real-money trading. It’s important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion on the likely result of the Ningbo tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ningbo tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Yusuke Kusuhara. The winner as declared by the official tournament organizers will determine the winning share in this market. It's important to note that the outcome is determined by external verification, not by any internal platform mechanism.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and therefore the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact perceptions of their form and ability. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Nov 1, 2026 resolution.