TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 3:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Khumoyun Sultanov and Naoya Honda in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Khumoyun Sultanov' if Khumoyun Sultanov advances against Naoya Honda. This market will resolve to 'Naoya Honda' if Naoya Honda advances against Khumoyun Sultanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Khumoyun Sultanov and Naoya Honda in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Khumoyun Sultanov' if Khumoyun Sultanov advances against Naoya Honda. This market will resolve to 'Naoya Honda' if Naoya Honda advances against Khumoyun Sultanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual traders’ beliefs and information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume is traded. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, as they represent different perspectives on the likely outcome of the Sultanov vs Honda match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sultanov vs Honda match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. The total volume traded and the price movements provide insights into how the crowd is evaluating the potential for each player to win.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sultanov vs Honda match as determined by the governing body of the sport. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of this exciting competition.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training routines, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ strategies or physical condition would also likely cause price fluctuations. Additionally, major upsets in other related matches or tournaments could influence perceptions of each player’s form and ability, leading to changes in the volume and price of shares in this market.