TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Khumoyun Sultanov and Dingzheng Nima in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Khumoyun Sultanov' if Khumoyun Sultanov advances against Dingzheng Nima. This market will resolve to 'Dingzheng Nima' if Dingzheng Nima advances against Khumoyun Sultanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Khumoyun Sultanov and Dingzheng Nima in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Khumoyun Sultanov' if Khumoyun Sultanov advances against Dingzheng Nima. This market will resolve to 'Dingzheng Nima' if Dingzheng Nima advances against Khumoyun Sultanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and opinions from individuals actively trading. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, access to information, or simply variations in how each entity interprets the available data. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood, driven by the actions of participants.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ningbo tennis match between Khumoyun Sultanov and Dingzheng Nima. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The outcome will be determined by which player is declared the victor of the match according to these sources.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or analysis suggesting a change in either player’s form, could also impact trading volume and price. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to be reflected in the market’s price action.