TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jake Delaney and Alexandr Binda in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Alexandr Binda. This market will resolve to 'Alexandr Binda' if Alexandr Binda advances against Jake Delaney. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jake Delaney and Alexandr Binda in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Alexandr Binda. This market will resolve to 'Alexandr Binda' if Alexandr Binda advances against Jake Delaney. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this event. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Ningbo match between Jake Delaney and Alexandr Binda. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to verify the final score and determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result, as determined by these publicly available sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes to their training regimes could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, broader trends in the sport or significant upsets in related matches could indirectly impact the perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve leading up to Nov 3, 2026.