TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Santillan/Zheng and Hsieh/Uchida in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Santillan/Zheng' if the team of Santillan/Zheng advances against Hsieh/Uchida. This market will resolve to 'Hsieh/Uchida' if the team of Hsieh/Uchida advances against Santillan/Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Santillan/Zheng and Hsieh/Uchida in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Santillan/Zheng' if the team of Santillan/Zheng advances against Hsieh/Uchida. This market will resolve to 'Hsieh/Uchida' if the team of Hsieh/Uchida advances against Santillan/Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. This can be due to the wisdom of the crowd effect, where the collective predictions of many individuals can be more accurate than those of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks often incorporate a margin of profit into their odds, while prediction markets allow traders to directly assess probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome of this match. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ningbo doubles match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the implied probability of a particular outcome, and traders aim to profit by correctly anticipating the result. The market's efficiency is driven by the incentives for traders to express their true beliefs accurately.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ningbo doubles match between Santillan/Zheng and Hsieh/Uchida. The platform will verify the result against sources such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. It’s important to note that the outcome is determined by the actual event result, and the platform’s role is simply to facilitate trading and verify the final outcome based on readily available information.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on team strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact predictions. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook. Monitoring these signals and analyzing the market’s response can provide valuable insights into the evolving probabilities associated with the Ningbo doubles match.