TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 12:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Charles Broom and Akira Santillan in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Charles Broom' if Charles Broom advances against Akira Santillan. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Charles Broom. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Charles Broom and Akira Santillan in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Charles Broom' if Charles Broom advances against Akira Santillan. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Charles Broom. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market's pricing is driven by real-money wagers. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks may overlook, resulting in potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the event gets, the more the price will reflect the perceived likelihood of each outcome. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market's price, while low volume might suggest uncertainty or disagreement among traders.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ningbo match between Charles Broom and Akira Santillan. Any official announcements or results from governing bodies will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries, changes in training regimes, or any significant announcements related to the athletes involved could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and social media, could also play a role. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either athlete winning will likely cause fluctuations in the market price.